An Integrated Model of Transport and Urban Evolution: With an Application to a Metropole of an Emerging Nation [Paperback]

Gone are the days when mobility was nearly always a question of having a vehicle. Today the issue of road capacity is becoming ever more pressing. Even the safest, most comfortable and 100% emissions-free vehicle is only of limited use if it is stuck in a traffic jam. Mobility is a key human need and an important factor in the economy. It is a matter of logic that a com? pany like DaimlerChrysler should make every endeavor to safeguard mo? bility, thereby fulfilling humanity's economic, social and environmental needs. Nonetheless, traffic and mobility problems are the inevitable result of a concentration of people and markets. Bombay, Lagos, Shanghai, Jakarta, Sao Paulo, Cairo, Mexico City - virtually half of the world's population is urban-based, and the majority live in the metropolitan regions of the Third World. The mega-cities in the so-called developing nations are facing a dramatic increase in traffic levels. Gridlock looms on the horizon. Should traffic-choked streets become a permanent and daily occurrence, economic development will be held in check and pollution will spiral.I Introduction into the Economic and Traffic Situation of China in General and of Nanjing in Particular.- 1. Introduction.- 2. China in a State of Flux.- 3. Nanjing City and Greater Nanjing.- 4. Traffic Development in China (especially within the Region of Nanjing).- II Description of the Model and of the Adaptation to the Available Data.- 5. The Integrated Transport and Evolution Model.- 6. The Data Situation of Nanjing.- 7. Adaptation of ITEM to the Specific Data Situation of Nanjing.- III Presentation of the Scenarios, Results of the Calculations, Conclusions and Recommendations.- 8. Methodology (Analysis and Forecasting) of the Traffic and Urban/Regional Situation of Nanjing City.- 9. Analysis of the Transport System and of the Population Development.- 10. Forecasting of the Traffic and Urban/Regional Development of Nanjing City for Different Scenarios.- 11. Summary and RecommendatilC-