Extreme Events A Physical Reconstruction and Risk Assessment [Hardcover]

A textbook that describes how to deduce accurate hazard risk assessments from long-term records.Risk assessments of natural hazards such as floods, droughts, earthquakes, tsunamis or cyclones, are often based on short-term historical records that may not reflect the full range or magnitude of events possible. Extreme Events describes the methods used to reconstruct hazards from long-term records. It demonstrates the variability of natural hazards and how short-term historical records may misrepresent the actual risks. A textbook for students taking natural hazards and risk assessment courses, it will also be valuable for planners and policy makers as a guide to understanding natural hazards.Risk assessments of natural hazards such as floods, droughts, earthquakes, tsunamis or cyclones, are often based on short-term historical records that may not reflect the full range or magnitude of events possible. Extreme Events describes the methods used to reconstruct hazards from long-term records. It demonstrates the variability of natural hazards and how short-term historical records may misrepresent the actual risks. A textbook for students taking natural hazards and risk assessment courses, it will also be valuable for planners and policy makers as a guide to understanding natural hazards.The assessment of risks posed by natural hazards such as floods, droughts, earthquakes, tsunamis or cyclones, may not reflect the full range or magnitude of events possible. As human populations grow, especially in hazard-prone areas, methods for accurately assessing natural hazard risks are becoming increasingly important. Jonathan Nott describes the many methods used to reconstruct such hazards from natural long-term records. He demonstrates how long-term records are essential in gaining a realistic understanding of the variability of natural hazards, and how short-term historical records can often misrepresent likely risks.1. Introduction; 2. Droughts; 3. Floods; 4. Tropical cyclones;l³‘