After a dozen years of war, the 2008 financial crisis, budgetary contraction inside government, and growing political polarization, U.S. security policy stands at a crossroads as America finds itself lacking a durable political consensus on the nations role in the world. In Global Forecast 2014, CSIS scholars answer the questions that will determine the future trajectory of American power in 2014 and beyond. The report looks overseas at Americas ability to sustain its rebalance to Asia and adapt to the changing order in the Middle East. At the same time, the authors examine Americas ability to get its own house in orderto develop a sustainable resource strategy for defense and to rebuild a national security consensus to meet the challenges the United States will face in the years ahead.Craig Cohen is executive vice president at CSIS. Kathleen Hicks is senior vice president and director of the International Security Program at CSIS. Josiane Gabel is a fellow with the Defense and National Security Group at CSIS.