Extreme Events and Natural Hazards: The Complexity Perspective [Hardcover]

Published by the American Geophysical Union as part of the Geophysical Monograph Series, Volume 196.

Extreme Events and Natural Hazards: The Complexity Perspective examines recent developments in complexity science that provide a new approach to understanding extreme events. This understanding is critical to the development of strategies for the prediction of natural hazards and mitigation of their adverse consequences. The volume is a comprehensive collection of current developments in the understanding of extreme events. The following critical areas are highlighted: understanding extreme events, natural hazard prediction and development of mitigation strategies, recent developments in complexity science, global change and how it relates to extreme events, and policy sciences and perspective. With its overarching theme, Extreme Events and Natural Hazards will be of interest and relevance to scientists interested in nonlinear geophysics, natural hazards, atmospheric science, hydrology, oceanography, tectonics, and space weather.

Preface
A. Surjalal Sharma, Armin Bunde, Vijay P. Dimri, and Daniel N. Baker vii

Complexity and Extreme Events in Geosciences: An Overview
A. Surjalal Sharma, Daniel N. Baker, Archana Bhattacharyya, Armin Bunde, Vijay P. Dimri, Harsh K. Gupta, Vijay K. Gupta, Shaun Lovejoy, Ian G. Main, Daniel Schertzer, Hans von Storch, and Nicholas W. Watkins 1

Section I: Solid Earth

Earthquakes: Complexity and Extreme Events
M. R. Yoder, D. L. Turcotte, and J. B. Rundle 17

Patterns of Seismicity Found in the Generalized Vicinity of a Strong Earthquake: Agreement With Common Scenarios of Instability Development
M. V. Rodkin 27

Characterizing Large Events and Scaling in Eartlch