Epidemic Risk Analysis and Assessment in Transport Services: COVID-19 and Other Viruses [Paperback]

This methodology for assessing the hazards, and probability and risks of viral transmission on public and freight transport services, based on the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, gives a matrix of hazard assessment in transportation, and tools for estimating the probability of virus transmission, prevention costs, epidemic risk, and forecasting.

RafaB Burdzik is a professor in the Faculty of Transport and Aviation Engineering at Silesian University of Technology, Poland and visiting lecturer at many European Universities with more than twenty years of transport research experience. He is an author or co-author of books and more than 400 scientific papers, and an editorial board member for several high level scientific journals and active member of numerous scientific associations, editorial boards and committees. He is a well-recognized international expert in transport, mechanical engineering, transport safety and environmental issues.

Accurate and fully explicit mathematical models and derivations make the proposed method truly universal irrespective of the geographical location and the kind of virus epidemic.

The effects of a pandemic on public, personal and freight transport can be sudden and massive, and yet transport is vital to the functioning of an advanced economy and society. On the other hand, transport, due to social mobility, has a decisive influence on the speed and scope of epidemic spread. This book presents a complete methodology for assessing the hazards, and probability and risks of viral transmission on transport services, using as a detailed example the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus pandemic. It gives proposals and recommendations for estimating human deaths caused by virus infection in transport. Significantly, it considers not only passenger transport but also freight transport, such as delivery orlã,