Making Better Decisions: Balancing Conflicting Criteria [Hardcover]

This book offers a comprehensive introduction to decision-making in an MCDM framework. Designed as a tutorial, it presents the main concepts and methods to be applied, together with essential background information. This includes the concept of nondominance, Simons bounded rationality, Tversky and Kahnemans prospect theory, and the concepts of behavioral vs. mathematical convergence and premature stopping put forward by Korhonen, Moskowitz and Wallenius. The book concludes with a non-technical review of many popular decision algorithms, including the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), VIMDA, and a number of classic interactive man-machine algorithms. In essence, the book is a one-stop source on everything you need to know about managerial decision-making in the multiple-criteria setting.Different Paradigms of Decision-Making.- About the Role of Intuition.- Towards Analytic Decision-Making.- How Do Humans Make Choices?.- Beware of Decision Traps:  The World of Certainty.- Beware of Decision Traps: The World of Uncertainty.- The Devil is in the Details.- A Picture is Worth a Thousand Words.- Choosing Among Known Alternatives.- Designing Potential Solutions.- Solving Design Problems.- Need for Decision Support Systems.- Use Scenarios Instead of a Crystal Ball.- Making Operations More Efficient.- Real-World Problems.- Negotiating a Deal.- In Conclusion.Pekka J. Korhonen is Emeritus Professor of Statistics at the Aalto University, School of Business, Finland (formerly Helsinki School of Economics). His research interests include Multiple Criteria Decision Making (MCDM), efficiency/performance analysis, choice behavior and interactive decision support systems. His articles have appeared in many leading journals. One of the leading scholars in Multiple Criteria Decision Making, he has served as President of the Internatlk