With scenario planning, leaders, executives, and decision makers can develop strategies for multiple futures, making their organizations resilient, agile, and capable of adapting to new circumstances at the speed of change.
Here, Thomas Chermack addresses the method’s complexities and, unlike other books, deals not just with developing different scenarios but also with applying those scenarios and assessing their impact.
This is the most comprehensive guide available to the scenario planning process, offering a thorough discussion of the method’s theoretical foundations and detailing a five-phase scenario planning system.
Chermack uses a real-world case study to illuminate the entire process—from project preparation to scenario exploration, development, implementation, and project assessment. He provides specific techniques and tools for gathering and analyzing relevant data, structuring and managing projects, and avoiding common pitfalls.List of Figures Foreword by Louis van der Merwe Preface
Part 1 -- Foundations of Scenario Planning Chapter 1: Introduction to Performance-Based Scenario Planning Chapter 2: The Theoretical Foundations of Performance-Based Scenario Planning Chapter 3: The Performance-Based Scenario System Chapter 4: Scenario Case Study
Part 2 -- Phases of the Performance-Based Scenario System Chapter 5 Project Preparation Phase Chapter 6 Scenario Exploration Phase Chapter 7 Scenario Development Phase Chapter 8 Scenario Implementation Phase Chapter 9 Project Assessment Phase
Part 3 -- Leading Scenario Projects Chapter 10 Managing Scenario Projects Chapter 11 Human Perceptions in the Scenario System Chapter 12 Initial“H