This book maps extreme temperature increase under dangerous climate change scenarios in Brazil and their impacts on four key sectors: agriculture, health, biodiversity and energy. The book draws on a careful review of the literature and climate projections, including relative risk estimates. This synthesis summarizes the state-of-the-art knowledge and provides decision-makers with risk analysis tools, to be incorporated in public planning policy, in order to understand climate events which may occur and which may have significant consequences.
1. Introduction.-2. Assessment of Warming Projections and Probabilities for Brazil.- 3. Agricultural Sector.- 4. Health Sector.- 5. Biodiversity Sector.- 6. Energy Sector.- 7. Final Remarks and Recommendations.- Glossary.
Carlos Afonso Nobre, holds an Electronic Engineering degree by the Institute for Aeronautic Technology (ITA) and Ph.D. in Meteorology by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology MIT. He was president of the Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personnel CAPES - from the Ministry of Education (MoE). He acted as the director of the National Centre for Monitoring and Warning of Natural Disasters (CEMADEN) and of the Secretariat of Research and Development Policies and Programmes (SEPED) of the Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation MCTI. He started his professional career at the National Institute for Amazonian Research (INPA) and then as researcher of the National Institute for Space Research (INPE). His main interests are on the fields of climatology, global change, Amazonia and sustainable development. He is currently a member of the High Level Scientific Advisory Panel on Global Sustainability of the UN Secretary General. He is a foreign member of the United States National Academy of Sciences (NAS) and member of the Brazilian Academy of Sciences and Academy of Sciences for Developing Nations (TWAS). HelÓ1