Earthquake Vapor Model And Precise Prediction [Paperback]

Earthquakes are thought to defy predictions. Indeed, numerous prediction methods have been attempted by generations of geologists. These methods are based on correlations of phenomena (such as animal behavior, tidal behavior, radon generation, ground shift, electromagnetism, foreshocks) with earthquakes. However, none of these methods have yielded useful predictions, because they are based on correlations instead of mechanisms. That is, an impending earthquake may or may not lead to these putative precursors, and phenomena other than earthquakes may also cause these phenomena. In this book I propose a new theory  earthquake vapor theory  that can be used to generate precise and accurate earthquake predictions. This theory proposes that when a huge rock is stressed by external (including man-made) forces, its weak parts break first. This induces crevices, and ground water percolates through crevices. Water expansion, contraction, friction and erosion further weaken the rock. Friction during ground movement heats the ground water and eventually generates vapor at high temperature and pressure. This vapor erupts from an impending hypocenter to the surface through the crevices and exits via one or more nozzles. Erupting vapor can rise up to form an earthquake cloud when encountering cold temperature at a higher altitude. Alternatively, erupting vapor can form a geothermal eruption ( geoeruption ) as its heat dissipates a preexisting cloud. Earthquake clouds and geoeruptions can be differentiated from other geological or weather phenomena because they suddenly appear, are vapor-based, have a fixed source, and display high temperature and high pressure. The location of eruption predicts the epicenter, the amount of vapor predicts the magnitude, and the time after a complete eruption empirically predicts the time of the earthquake within days. Using this theory, I predicted 63 independent earthquakes to the United States Geological Survey from 1994 to 2001. EaclS)