Generating Predictability Institutional Analysis and Design [Paperback]

This book explores how institutional design can generate a level of predictability in human behaviour and interaction.Human behaviour is infinitely complex, the result of thousands of interactions between predispositions, external factors and physical and cognitive processes. Drawing on a wide range of disciplines including psychology, economics, and sociological and political studies, this book develops a coherent and accessible theory for explaining the unpredictability of individual behaviour. The author then highlights the danger of institutional reforms undermining the very capacity to generate predictability which is so central to their success.Human behaviour is infinitely complex, the result of thousands of interactions between predispositions, external factors and physical and cognitive processes. Drawing on a wide range of disciplines including psychology, economics, and sociological and political studies, this book develops a coherent and accessible theory for explaining the unpredictability of individual behaviour. The author then highlights the danger of institutional reforms undermining the very capacity to generate predictability which is so central to their success.Human behavior is infinitely complex and unpredictable, the result of thousands of interactions between predispositions, external factors and physical and cognitive processes. Drawing on a wide range of disciplines including psychology, economics, and sociological and political studies, this book develops a coherent and accessible theory for explaining the unpredictability of individual behavior. The author then highlights the danger of institutional reforms undermining the very capacity to generate predictability which is so central to their success.Preface; 1. Introduction; 2. The psychological predictability problem; 3. Rational choice responses; 4. Behaviourally informed responses; 5. Behaviourally determined responders; 6. Outlook: implications for interaction with higher complexity; lóW