How will China develop under the new leadership of Xi Jinping and Li Keqiang? This is a key question for both China and the wider world. This book presents a comprehensive overview of the key areas and issues, assessing how things are likely to develop under the new leadership. It considers the economy, trade, politics, and demographics; appraises the leadership, both at the national and provincial levels; and discusses potential flashpoints in Chinas relationship with its neighbors and Chinas emerging role in world politics. The book emphasizes the great uncertainties surrounding the next phase of Chinas development, highlighting the structural problems of the economy, the problems of urbanization and governance, and the deep social cleavages which exist over issues such as income disparity, rampant corruption and unequal opportunities in social mobility. Against this backdrop it measures the emerging leadership of Xi Jinping to assess the prospects for China in the next decade and beyond.
1. Introduction Zheng Yongnian and Lance L.P. Gore Part 1: Political Direction 1. Intra-Party Democracy: CCPs Rhetoric or Pragmatic Reform Approach? Zheng Yongnian and Chen Gang 2. Chinas New State Council: The Dilemma of the Super-Ministry Reform Lance L. P. Gore 3. Chinas New Supreme Command and Xi Jinpings Political Leadership You Ji 4. Chinas New Provincial Party Leaders Bo Zhiyue Part 2: Economic Trends 5. Adjusting to Lower Growth in the Xi Era Lu Ding and Yao Jielu 6. China towards Balanced Trade and Growth Sarah Tong 7. Chinas Trade and Investment in the European Union Wu Dan 8. Assessment of Chinas Urbanization Zhou Zhihua Part 3: Social lƒŸ