Judgment and Decision Making Neo-brunswikian and Process-tracing Approaches [Paperback]

Research on human judgment and decision making has been strongly guided by a normative/descriptive approach, according to which human decision making is compared to the normative models provided by decision theory, statistics, and the probability calculus. A common empirical finding has been that human behavior deviates from the prescriptions by normative models--that judgments and decisions are subject to cognitive biases.

It is interesting to note that Swedish research on judgment and decision making made an early departure from this dominating mainstream tradition, albeit in two different ways. The Neo-Brunswikian researchhighlights the relationship between the laboratory task and the adaptation to a natural environment. The process-tracing approachattempts to identify the cognitive processes before, during, and after a decision. This volume summarizes current Swedish research on judgment and decision making, covering topics, such as dynamic decision making, confidence research, the search for dominance structures and differentiation, and social decision making.
Contents: P. Juslin, H. Montgomery,Introduction and Historical Remarks. Part I:Judgment and Decision Making in an Environmental Context.B. Brehmer,Reasonable Decision Making in Complex Environments. A. Jansson,Goal Achievement and Mental Models in Everyday Decision Making. G. Rigas, B. Brehmer,Mental Processes in Intelligence Tests and Dynamic Decision Making Tasks. P. Juslin, H. Olsson,Computational Models of Subjective Probability Calibration. A. Winman, P. Juslin, I Was Well-Calibrated All Along : Assessing Accuracy in Retrospect. Part II:Judgment and Decision Making as Mental Processes.C.M. Allwood, P.A. Granhag,Feelings of Confidence and the Realism of Confidence Judgments in Everyday Life. H. Montgomery, H. Wlƒg