Judgment and Decision Making An Interdisciplinary Reader [Paperback]

This volume is a revision of Arkes and Hammond's 1986 collection of papers on judgment and decision making.This is a revision of Arkes and Hammond's 1986 collection of papers on judment and decision making. Updated and extended, the focus of this volume is interdisciplinary and applied (in contrast to the companion collection, Goldstein and Hogarth's Research in Judgment and Decision Making, 1997). The papers are selected from scientific literature, but chosen specifically to appeal to the scholar, student and layperson alike.This is a revision of Arkes and Hammond's 1986 collection of papers on judment and decision making. Updated and extended, the focus of this volume is interdisciplinary and applied (in contrast to the companion collection, Goldstein and Hogarth's Research in Judgment and Decision Making, 1997). The papers are selected from scientific literature, but chosen specifically to appeal to the scholar, student and layperson alike.Researchers in a growing number of fields--public policy, law, business, medicine, psychology, engineering, and others--are working to understand and improve human judgment and decision making. This book, which presupposes no formal training, brings together a selection of key articles in the area, with careful organization, introduction and commentaries. Issues involving medical diagnosis, weather forecasting, labor negotiations, risk, public policy, business strategy, eyewitnesses, and jury decisions are treated in this largely expanded volume. This is a revision of Arkes and Hammond's 1986 collection on judgment and decision making. Updated and extended, the focus of this volume is interdisciplinary and applied.Series preface; Contributors; Editors' preface to the second edition; Part I. Introduction and Overview: 1. Multiattribute evaluation; 2. Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases; 3. Coherence and correspondence theories in judgment and decision making; 4. Enhancing diagnostic decisions; Part II. ApplicationlÃ^