Principles of Econometrics, Fifth Edition, is an introductory book for undergraduate students in economics and finance, as well as first-year graduate students in a variety of fields that include economics, finance, accounting, marketing, public policy, sociology, law, and political science. Students will gain a working knowledge of basic econometrics so they can apply modeling, estimation, inference, and forecasting techniques when working with real-world economic problems. Readers will also gain an understanding of econometrics that allows them to critically evaluate the results of others’ economic research and modeling, and that will serve as a foundation for further study of the field.
This new edition of the highly-regarded econometrics text includes major revisions that both reorganize the content and present students with plentiful opportunities to practice what they have read in the form of chapter-end exercises.
Preface v
List of Examples xxi
1 An Introduction to Econometrics 1
1.1 Why Study Econometrics? 1
1.2 What Is Econometrics About? 2
1.2.1 Some Examples 3
1.3 The Econometric Model 4
1.3.1 Causality and Prediction 5
1.4 How Are Data Generated? 5
1.4.1 Experimental Data 6
1.4.2 Quasi-Experimental Data 6
1.4.3 Nonexperimental Data 7
1.5 Economic Data Types 7
1.5.1 Time-Series Data 7
1.5.2 Cross-Section Data 8
1.5.3 Panel or Longitudinal Data 9
1.6 The Research Process 9
1.7 Writing an Empirical Research Paper 11
1.7.1 Writing a Research Proposal 11
1.7.2 A Format l£,